AuthorDan Nelson

Dan continues looking into turn cost, or the average casting turn of spells, this time focusing on the effect colored mana has on it.

Dan looks into the impact that mana acceleration has on turn cost in Limited play in this edition of Limiting Chance.

Dan Nelson uses mathematics and probability to wrap up his look into mulligans in Limited, focusing this time on games on the play.

In this installment of Limiting Chance, Dan Nelson continues the investigation of mulligans that he began in his previous article.

Dan calculates how hard gold cards are to cast relative to mono-colored cards. Then he investigates the deck thinning properties of Return to Ravnica’s land fetchers.

Continuing to focus on RTR Limited, Dan calculates how risky it is to keep a starting hand that contains a Keyrune but not the land to cast it. Then he takes a look at the most powerful Limited card in recent years: Pack Rat.

Dan Nelson’s Limiting Chance series moves from general theory to the specifics of Return to Ravnica. How do the mana costs of the set’s creatures affect Limited play? Find the answer to this and more questions inside!

Dan Nelson does the math on drawing “that perfect card” in Limited. What are the odds with 40-card decks? Read all about them!

Two weeks ago Dan looked at six-land hands and concluded that they’re terrible. This week he looks at a land count that’s much more contentious: two lands.

Dan responds to requests by readers that he go into more detail about how his Magic Probability Toolkit works by explaining the steps it takes him to get his results and the math behind the numbers.

Does the chance of drawing spells really go up when your hand is flooded with land? Let’s apply some mathematics and find out.

In Dan Nelson’s new series, Limiting Chance, he’s going to focus on the aspects of Magic that draw from poker: the randomness. Check out his first installment about how many lands you can expect in your opening hand!