I wholeheartedly agree with this sentiment by Jean-Emmanuel Depraz. The ability to predict what wheels or the card-quality-per-color that you expect to see in Pack 2 and Pack 3 fuels a variety of tie-breakers between close picks. The information from Pack 1 is crucial for this. The most important pick in most drafts, in my opinion, is Pack 1, Pick 9. The first wheel provides more information than any other pick in the draft, and leveraging that information is paramount to success.
Sometimes even the prospect of wheeling a card can change the course of a draft. It can be correct to first-pick a card, and note that if a specific card wheels out of that pack, you dive into that archetype head-first. Most importantly, noting that potential wheel incentivizes drafting with a bias towards that archetype. The draft I go over today has a lot of close decisions that are in this vein.
Pack 1, Pick 1
Pack 3, Pick 2
At this stage I’m very happy with my deck. This pick presents a really interesting question: “Is it correct to try to wheel the best card for my deck out of this pack: the Gruul gold card?”
The Picks So Far: