We’re at the home stretch of the Core Set 2015 Financial Values article! Today we had one of the last two Mythics spoiled, along with a couple of Rares. Let’s dive right in!
How I review:
Starting Price: The first price we assign to the card as a preorder.
Current Price: The current price of the card by the time this article goes live.
Future Price (Short Term): The price I believe the card will be at before Magic Online redemptions go live for Magic 2015.
Future Price (Medium Term): The price I believe the card will be at by the time the next set (Khans of Tarkir) comes out.
Future Price (Long Term): The price I believe the card will be at a year from now, when M16 is released.
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Starting Price: $15 Current Price: $15 Future Price (Short Term): $15 Future Price (Medium Term): $20 Future Price (Long Term): $20 |
Let’s look at the pedigree of Sliver Hivelord – other 5-color, 5-mana slivers.
Sliver Queen (Stronghold): $50
Sliver Overlord (Scourge + FTV: Slivers): $12
Sliver Legion (Future Sight): $40
If Sliver Overlord hadn’t been reprinted, it’d likely be in the $25-$30 range. This means that Sliver Hivelord has a lot of upward mobility against its current $15 price tag.
Casual players generally hate effects that let the opponent mess with their game. This includes countermagic (spell denial), discard (option denial) and removal (board denial). Slivers in general have their greatest appeal to the casual demographic. Sliver Hivelord eliminates most removal options an opponent can break out against your sliver army, making it a hugely big deal of an ability to grant all slivers.
While I think there will be some fluctuation in pricing early on, I think that Sliver Hivelord has nowhere to go but up over the next year.
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Starting Price: $1 Current Price: $1 Future Price (Short Term): $1 Future Price (Medium Term): $1 Future Price (Long Term): $1 |
We’ve seen this card countless times now since Jester’s Cap/Cranial Exaction. At this point it’s a slightly-upside bulk rare ability. Pros: Stain the Mind is splashable, and can cost less than four mana (the typical mana point for this type of effect). Cons: Costs five on its own. Pretty much should be a $0.75-$1 bulk rare.
Changes since yesterday:
Chord of Calling: From $10 to $15
Garruk, Apex Predator: From $25 to $30 (and we sold out in one day)
PACK VALUE
To determine the value of a booster pack, I’m going to start with the following formula:
(2R + 1M) / 80
That isn’t enough of a picture though. In fairness, $0.50 to $1 bulk rares don’t really amount to “real” value if you’re looking to trade with other players. So I’m omitting the value of any Rare that is below $2 (rounded from $1.99) and any Mythic that is below $4 (rounded from $3.99).
No new rares made the list, but Chord of Calling rose $5.
Avacyn, Guardian Angel: $3
Battlefield Forge: $3
Caves of Koilos: $3
Chasm Skulker: $2
Chief Engineer: $2.50
Chord of Calling: $15
Genesis Hydra: $2.50
Hushwing Gryff: $4
Llanowar Wastes: $4
Ob Nixilis, Unshackled: $4
Phyrexian Revoker: $2
Preeminent Captain: $3
Return to the Ranks: $2
Shivan Reef: $6
Sliver Hive: $4
Spirit Bonds: $2
Urborg, Tomb of Yawgmoth: $12
Waste Not: $10
Yavimaya Coast: $4
Yisan, the Wanderer Bard: $2
Total Rare Value: $90
All but one Mythic Rare have been spoiled!
Ajani Steadfast: $20
Chandra, Pyromaster: $8
Garruk, Apex Predator: $30
Liliana Vess: $8
Nissa, Worldwaker: $25
Perilous Vault: $10
Sliver Hivelord: $15
Soul of Innistrad; $5
Soul of New Phyrexia: $15
Soul of Shandalar: $6
Soul of Theros: $10
Soul of Zendikar: $5
Total Mythic Value: $157
So plugging this into the formula, we get the following:
(2R ($90) + 1M ($157)) = $337
$337/121 = $2.78 value per pack, or $100.26 per box.
Keep in mind that this $100.26 value per box doesn’t include any missing Rares/Mythics, or any valuable uncommons (such as Darksteel Citadel), or any foils. I also don’t think prices on the majority of these cards are going to drop tremendously from their current values (as stated earlier – I’m pricing close to the vest on this set), so this looks like a set worth picking up!
Previous Daily Financial Value Of Magic 2015 Articles
6/24 – Sliver Hive; Soul of Innistrad
6/26 – Avacyn, Guardian Angel; Crucible of Fire; Perilous Vault; Phyrexian Revoker
Chief Engineer; Chord of Calling; Garruk, Apex Predator; Necromancer’s Stockpile