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Daily Financial Value Of Dragon’s Maze (4/11)

Tons of spoiled cards last night mean lots of financial analysis from Ben today! Read about Lavinia, Mirko Vosk, Varolz, and more; make sure you’re on top of your preorder decisions.

Hello everyone, and welcome back to my daily series of Financial Value articles about the newest set, Dragon’s Maze. Here’s the price evaluation guide again! Yes, this is the same text as yesterday, except for this sentence talking about this being the same text as yesterday! And just so this doesn’t remain stagnant—I am heading to a wedding tomorrow, so there will be no Friday update for this article. I will be back on Monday with an update for all of the cards spoiled on both Friday and Monday, so tune back in then!

Starting Price: The first price we assign to this card as a preorder

Current Price: The current price of the card, by the time this article goes live

Future Price—Short Term: The price I believe this card will be at before Magic Online redemptions go live for Dragon’s Maze

Future Price—Medium Term: The price I believe this card will be at by the time the next set (M14) comes out

Future Price—Long Term: The price I believe this card will be at a year from now, when the next spring set is released (Journey Into Nyx)

Blood Scrivener

Starting Price: $5

Current Price: $5

Future Price (Short Term): $8

Future Price (Medium Term): $6

Future Price (Long Term): $5

Perfectly slots into current Zombie decks in Standard and has an effect that is very powerful for that deck. I see this being a staple alongside Geralf’s Messenger and Gravecrawler. Very bullish on this card because it’s a missing piece of an already-existing archetype.

Lavinia of the Tenth

Starting Price: $3

Current Price: $3

Future Price (Short Term): $4

Future Price (Medium Term): $3

Future Price (Long Term): $3

I think Lavinia will have a bump initially because people are going to want to try her out in Standard. I don’t think she’ll make a big impact there. If she detained all creatures or all non-land permanents and not just smaller ones, or if she had both protection from red AND black, I’d feel a lot better about Lavinia; but as she stands, probably will see some play, but not an all-star.

Mirko Vosk, Mind Drinker

Starting Price: $2

Current Price: $2

Future Price (Short Term): $2

Future Price (Medium Term): $2

Future Price (Long Term): $3

There was a time where mill effects like this would have been king with the casual player, but there are more and more mill effects to choose from as of late. I don’t like the idea of having to rely on a (small, for the mana cost) creature hitting in order to mill repeatedly. I’d think that Breaking // Entering is a much more exciting mill card than this one.

Sire of Insanity

Starting Price: $1

Current Price: $1

Future Price (Short Term): $0.50

Future Price (Medium Term): $0.50

Future Price (Long Term): $0.50

Bulk rare is bulk.

Varolz, the Scar-Striped

Starting Price: $3

Current Price: $3

Future Price (Short Term): $5

Future Price (Medium Term): $3

Future Price (Long Term): $4

Varolz will jump all over the place in price because his price is dependent on Modern season—namely, interactions with dredge and Death’s Shadow. Death’s Shadow is already jumping to the $3-$4 range all over the internet in anticipation of this combo, but it’s a Modern combo, and we don’t have a Modern season again until December/January of next year. Therefore, I think Varolz will have a short spike now, drop when people realize he isn’t a Standard staple, and then jump back up when Modern season rolls around next year.

Zhur-Taa Ancient

Starting Price: $1.25

Current Price: $1.25

Future Price (Short Term): $2

Future Price (Medium Term): $1

Future Price (Long Term): $1

For the LONG, LONG term (2+ years), I think Zhur-Taa is a great pickup as a Commander staple—the body is really large for the mana cost, and the effect is one that’s been a proven crowd pleaser in EDH. For Standard—there are too many X spells running around right now (Sphinx’s Revelation / Bonfire of the Damned anyone?) for this to be a playable symmetrical effect at this time. Maybe after Innistrad block (Avacyn Restored in particular) rotates out this will be worth a second look…but likely not.

Updates

Advent of the Wurm: $7 (from $5)—Going to probably hit $8-$10 before release and then quickly drop back down to the $4-$5 range, like Dreadbore / Mizzium Mortars / Detention Sphere did post–Return to Ravnica.

Master of Cruelties: $10 (from $5)—I think there are going to be a lot of people let down by this card. I still don’t see why it’s gone to the price it has, but if people are buying it, I’m going to price it there. I wouldn’t recommend picking these up right now.

Renounce the Guilds: $1.50 (from $1)—People are banking on this to be a played removal spell. I just don’t see it outside of sideboard play. Would avoid picking it up for now because it’ll be a bulk rare after release.

See you all Monday next week!

  • Ben

Previous Daily Financial Value articles

April 10, Wednesday: Exava, Rakdos Blood Witch; Renounce the Guilds; Teysa, Envoy of Ghosts

April 9, Tuesday: Advent of the Wurm; Master of Cruelties; Vorel of the Hull Clade

April 8, Monday: Beck // Call; Maze’s End; Melek, Izzet Paragon; Ral Zarek; Render Silent; Ruric Thar, the Unbowed