fbpx

The Financial Value Of Return To Ravnica: Daily Edition

Updated 9/18 Tuesday 11:20 PM EDT! Ben Bleiweiss is doing something different this spoiler season! Don’t miss his daily updates on the Financial Value of Return to Ravnica.


Hello everyone, and welcome to your daily installment of The Financial Value of Return to Ravnica! For previous financial reviews, I’d waited for the entire set to be spoiled. However, card values are rapidly in flux the first few days (and weeks) after spoilers go live—so for this set, I am going to talk about each set of new cards as they are spoiled and give updates for previously spoiled cards as movement happens! This will allow me to give you the most up-to-the-moment financial information so you can make informed choices regarding Return to Ravnica.

We’ll be handling the reviews slightly differently. I’ll be giving the starting price of the card and my thoughts about the card—whether it’ll go up, down, or stay about the same. The entire set should be fully spoiled on Monday, September 24th, so that day I will revisit every card in the set, see how the card performed since the beginning of the spoiler season, and give my predictions for the longer-term value of these cards!

A Quick Note about Return to Ravnica: This set is going to be chock-full of good commons and uncommons due to the guild structure. There are also five proven high-dollar rares to start with (the shocklands). Therefore, the overall value of many rares/mythics that might otherwise be higher will be suppressed due to the high number of boxes that will be cracked for singles. I think short-term a lot of the cards will be lower in price than they would have been in another set, but long-term that makes them really good buys for once the supply dries up a year down the road.

Tuesday, September 18th

New Cards

Azor’s Elocutors

Starting Price: $1

Thoughts:
Tons of cards were spoiled these past two days, thanks to MTGSalvation. This was not one of those—it was spoiled on Twitter. An interesting alternate win condition and one that may have been borderline playable with proliferate in the mix—but without proliferate, it’s just a bulk rare.

Deathrite Shaman

Starting Price: $3

Thoughts:
Current Price: $6, though started at $3 when we got it up for presale yesterday. I personally think this is a trap card—it has a lot of utility, it costs very little, and it’s an Elf—but it has a conditional activation, especially for the mana ability. While there’s a lot of hype around it right now, I think this is a card that will drop significantly once the set is released.

Firemind’s Foresight

Starting Price: $1

Thoughts: Bulk rare. I know this is a financial review, but I just wanted to note that it’s disconcerting to the OCD person inside of me that this costs seven mana, instead of six (1 + 2 + 3).

Grave Betrayal

Starting Price: $1

Thoughts: Starting at bulk rare price, but I believe this card will end up being extremely popular with the casual crowd. A casualty of the number of boxes that will be opened for singles; but I believe this has potential a year down the road after Return to Ravnica goes out of print.

Mana Bloom

Starting Price: $1

Thoughts:
This is an odd card. The interesting part to this card is that you can remove counters on both your and your opponent’s turn, so it can do double duty to giving you access to mana. Up to $1.25 from $1, and this is a card I’d advise picking up because it might have the potential to be really good.

Palisade Giant

Starting Price: $1

Thoughts:
Bulk rare.

Rakdos, Lord of Riots

Starting Price: $10

Thoughts:
Seems absolutely insane for Commander play but less so in Constructed. I was not a fan of Abyssal Persecutor, and this is a similar “large flying creature with a drawback,” which in this case is “cannot be cast.” Should drop in price from $10.

Rest in Peace

Starting Price: $4

Thoughts:
One of the strongest graveyard hosers ever printed. Combos with Helm of Obedience, giving that deck a weapon it can easily hard-cast and find (Enlightened Tutor) for Legacy. When Leyline of the Void was big in Extended (before reprinting in M11), it was a solid $7-$10 card, depending on the Constructed season. This is going to be heavily played in Legacy and has a place in Modern and Standard.

Righteous Authority

Starting Price: $1.25

Thoughts:
Reminds me of Celestial Mantle—very popular, stayed at around $1 forever, and then after it rotated it started slowly rising in price. Righteous Authority appeals to the same player that Celestial Mantle appeals to; and there’s the built-in self-Howling Mine effect that might make this Standard playable as well. Worth picking up now, can only go up.

Search the City

Starting Price: $1.25

Thoughts:
I believe this card will end up being a bulk rare. With that said—it’s a card advantage card (albeit very conditional for any type of card outside of basic lands) and a Time Walk effect, so I compare this to Jester’s Scepter. Extremely powerful when you get it going but extremely conditional to get going in the first place.

Utvara Hellkite

Starting Price: $4

Thoughts:
Utvara Hellkite is a Dragon that costs 6RR and is a 6/6. It reads "Flying; Whenever a Dragon you control attacks, put a 6/6 red Dragon creature token onto the battlefield." Casual bulk mythic. Should drop to the $2-3 range—by the time you drop it, you should have already won the game with Dragons you have in play (unless you’re running some weird Changeling/Dragon concoction).

Friday, September 14th

New Cards

Ash Zealot

Starting Price: $2

Thoughts:
Much like Precinct Captain—a good body with good combat abilities (first strike and haste in this case) with a secondary ability that will not hit often, since the opponent can play around it. I don’t see this going up much more, but I don’t see it dropping either.

Pithing Needle

Starting Price: $2

Thoughts:
Pithing Needle is one of the ultimate strategies to shut down planeswalkers—but how many planeswalkers are going to see play in a post-Scars world? When it first was printed (Saviors of Kamigawa), Pithing Needle hit $20-$25. When it was reprinted in 10th Edition, it dropped to $10-$15. When it saw a third printing in M10, it dropped to the $2-$3 range. Is there a reason Pithing Needle will, on a fourth printing, suddenly spike in price? On one hand, there’s a precedent for it being a higher-dollar card than $2. On the other hand—there’s a stronger precedent that the market is flooded with Pithing Needle, so while I would recommend picking up a set to have for Standard (it won’t drop below $2), don’t expect it to suddenly shoot up a lot in price, even if it’s seeing moderate play.

Ultimate Price

Starting Price: $1

Thoughts:
Comparable to Terror, Go for the Throat, and Doom Blade. All of these have commanded a premium when they are Standard legal (yes, even as commons), so $1 seems like a solid price on Ultimate Price. It would be higher ($2+) if there weren’t going to be so many gold creatures played in Standard post-Ravnica—but it will also be a fantastic removal spell for Commander players, where it will hit a lot more targets.

 

 

10 Best Sellers for the Past Week

Last week, I presented the list of the 10 best selling Return to Ravnica cards. This week, I’m going to give you a list of the 10 Return to Ravnica cards that sold the most copies between Friday the 7th and today!

1) Desecration Demon

Starting Price: $2
Current Price: $4

Thoughts:
Desecration Demon was our best-selling card this week, partly in thanks to being spoiled during our coverage for SCG Open Series: Portland. Half the people I’ve spoken to think it is junk, and the other half think it is Abyssal Persecutor 2.0. I’m of the former school of thought, but not enough so that I discount this card entirely.

2) Nivmagus Elemental

Starting Price: $3
Current Price: $4

Thoughts:
Many are banking that this will be strong in both Modern and Legacy—but not so much in Standard or casual play. Missing out on the two most popular formats is what is keeping the price of Nivmagus Elemental in check.

3) Loxodon Smiter

Starting Price: $4
Current Price: $5

Thoughts:
Solid but unspectacular creature. One of the stronger Selesnya cards spoiled so far, in a guild that has still been lagging behind the other guilds, two weeks into spoiler season.

4) Abrupt Decay

Starting Price: $10
Current Price: $15

Thoughts:
There were three cards that were in the top 10 list last week and are also in the top 10 list this week. Abrupt Decay has overtaken Overgrown Tomb as our best-selling rare in the set, and we are going to sell out of it before the end of next week.

5) Lotleth Troll

Starting Price: $6
Current Price: $10

Thoughts:
The second card to make the Top 10 list both weeks so far. Golgari is the strongest guild (overall) spoiled so far, and Lotleth Troll is good enough to be considered for Legacy play. Extremely solid creature, and we are likely to sell out of it before the Return to Ravnica Prerelease.

6) Cyclonic Rift

Starting Price: $2
Current Price: $4

Thoughts:
With all of the amazing outright-removal spells in this set, I just don’t feel that a bounce spell that needs seven mana to “go large” will command a $4 price tag once the set is released. Still, you can’t argue with sales, and they continue to be strong even after the initial price of Cyclonic Rift doubled.

7) Overgrown Tomb

Starting Price: $10
Current Price: $15

Thoughts:
The only shockland that makes the Top Seller list this week. Overgrown Tomb was the best-selling Return to Ravnica card on the Top 10 seller list last week and continues to move well thanks to black and green getting the goods in this set. (For reference—Temple Garden was #17, Hallowed Fountain was #21, Blood Crypt was #26, and Steam Vents was #27).

8) Slitherhead

Starting Price: $0.25
Current Price: $0.25

Thoughts:
Nothing to see here, please move along.

9) Trostani, Selesnya’s Voice

Starting Price: $3
Current Price: $4

Thoughts:
A great casual ability but not looking great for Constructed play. Will likely be a popular Commander general, but we really need to see the token creatures that are in Return to Ravnica.

10) Angel of Serenity

Starting Price: $5
Current Price: $10

Thoughts:
I still tink Angel of Serenity is being undervalued—precedents for popular mythic Angels are more in the $15-$20 range, and Angel of Serenity is quite playable—more so than Avacyn, Angel of Hope (which is still a solid $12 card half a year after release).

Thursday, September 13th

display/collapse

Wednesday, September 12th

display/collapse

Tuesday, September 11th

display/collapse

Monday, September 10th

display/collapse

Friday, September 7th

display/collapse

Thursday, September 6th

display/collapse

Wednesday, September 5th

display/collapse

Tuesday, September 4th

display/collapse