Daily Financial Value Of Magic Origins – July 2nd

On this next-to-last day before the full Magic Origins spoiler hits us, we have all sixteen mythics and all but two rares – Ben’s got the latest update inside as well as a breakdown of the expected value of Origins boxes!

This is the penultimate day of the Financial Value of Magic Origins article! The full spoiler should be up on Wizard’s website tomorrow at around 11am. Today’s article will discuss some of the last few Rares/Mythics spoiled, and tomorrow’s article will talk about the absolute last rares spoiled plus the foil Commons/Uncommons that will be of note!

How I Review:

Starting Price : The first price we assign to this card as a preorder.

Current Price : The current price of the card by the time this article goes live.

Future Price – Short Term : The price I believe this card will be at before Magic Online redemptions go live for Magic Origins.

Future Price – Medium Term : The price I believe this card will be at by the time the next set (Battle for Zendikar) comes out.

Future Price – Long Term : The price I believe this card will be at a year from now when the first set of the second block of next year is released! (The one that is the block AFTER Battle for Zendikar block).

Erebos’s Titan

Rarity: Mythic

Starting Price: $5

Current Price: $5

Future Price (Short Term): $20

Future Price (Medium Term): $10

Future Price (Long Term): $10

Current market value on E-bay right now is $5-$6 each. Erebos’s Titan is no-drawback Juzam Djinn with three upsides:

1) It can (sometimes) have indestructible,

2) It can recur from your graveyard (a little tricky, but not completely uncommon, to trigger), and

It costs triple-black to cast.

Many people are pointing out #3 as a drawback, but Erebos’s Titan is fannnnntastic for the next couple of months as a way to revive Black Devotion decks. Erebos’s Titan works very well with Languish, Gray Merchant of Asphodel, and other parts of the Black Devotion shell.

This is my pick for the most undervalued card in the set right now. Take a look at the current value of Phyrexian Obliterator to see the potential upside on Erebos’s Titan long-term.

Evolutionary Leap

Rarity: Rare

Starting Price: $2

Current Price: $2

Future Price (Short Term): $3

Future Price (Medium Term): $3

Future Price (Long Term): $4

The immediate comparisons for this card are to Survival of the Fittest – and it’s clear that Survival is a much better card. (See also: Fauna Shaman.) Evolutionary Leap is a fantastic card to enable creature-based combo decks, or to gain massive card advantage in decks that can pump out token creatures. I can absolutely see this card going into Elf Combo – think of it more in terms of Glimpse of Nature. Every time you cast a creature spell, you pay “G” to draw a card (instead of just drawing the card). This may be one mana more – but Glimpse of Nature is banned in Modern due to power level.

Mage-Ring Responder

Rarity: Rare

Starting Price: $0.50

Current Price: $0.50

Future Price (Short Term): $0.50

Future Price (Medium Term): $0.50

Future Price (Long Term): $0.50

The first truly and completely bulk rare I’ve seen out of this set.

Nissa’s Revelation

Rarity: Rare

Starting Price: $1.50

Current Price: $1.50

Future Price (Short Term): $1

Future Price (Medium Term): $1

Future Price (Long Term): $1

So seven mana is a lot for a sorcery, and it better be game-changing. Examples of previous spells that mattered in Standard at seven mana were Tooth and Nail and Cruel Ultimatum. Is Nissa’s Revelation a good comp against these?

The benefits of the other cards is that they impacted the board in such a profound way that casting the spells alone could change the game. Nissa’s Revelation is a little scary in that it’s entirely possible to miss on the scry. On the flip side – with (supposedly) Eldrazi coming back, there’s a very real chance of building a green ramp deck that uses Nissa’s Revelation to draw an absurd number of cards and gains a ridiculous amount of life.

Imagine Ulamog, the Infinite Gyre. Hit with Nissa’s Revelation, and you’re spending seven mana to draw ten cards, gain ten life, and you’re also selectively drawing whichever you want of the five cards you see with Nissa’s Revelation (meaning you could keep Ulamog + the one good card, and send three basic lands to the bottom before drawing ten cards).

I think we need to wait to see just how big (or playable) the creatures are in Battle for Zendikar before fully evaluating Nissa’s Revelation, but there’s a very real chance that this becomes a sleeper card for Ramp to battle against non-control decks (or win the mirror).


Rarity: Rare

Starting Price: $1

Current Price: $1

Future Price (Short Term): $0.50

Future Price (Medium Term): $0.50

Future Price (Long Term): $0.50

Meet Roil Elemental/Beguiler of Wills/high-mana blue Control Magic creatures that need work to get going, and can die easily. Bulk.


Sigil of the Empty Throne: Previous versions at $4 (reprinted twice). Starting at $2. A popular casual card that makes a popular creature type, on the tail end of an Enchantment block rotating out of Standard.

Changes Since The Last Article

No changes since yesterday!

Pack Value

To determine the value of a booster pack, I’m going to start with the following formula:

(2R + 1M)/126.

The formula has changed slightly because of Wizards including 16 Mythics and 55 Rares in the set. This isn’t a significant change, but it does move the math by a few percentage points.

53 out of the 55 Rares have been spoiled. Here are the ones that are $2 and up! (* = REPRINT)

Abbot of Keral Keep: $3
Animist’s Awakening: $5
* Battlefield Forge: $2
* Caves of Koilos: $2
Dark Petition: $4
Dwynen, Gilt-Leaf Daen: $2.50
Evolutionary Leap: $2
Exquisite Firecraft: $4
Gilt-Leaf Winnower: $2
* Goblin Piledriver: $15
Hallowed Moonlight: $5
Hangarback Walker: $2
Harbinger of the Tides: $5
Herald of the Pantheon: $3
Honored Hierarch: $6
Infinite Obliteration: $3
*Knight of the White Orchid: $3
Languish: $7.50
* Llanowar Wastes: $2
Managorger Hydra: $3
Mizzium Meddler: $2
Molten Vortex: $3
Pia and Kiran Nalaar: $3
Relic Seeker: $3
Scab-Clan Berserker: $2
* Shivan Reef: $2
* Sigil of the Empty Throne: $2
Talent of the Telepath: $2
Vryn Wingmare: $3
* Yavimaya Coast: $2
Total Rare Value: $105

All 16 Mythic Rares have been spoiled!

Alhammarret’s Archive: $8
Archangel of Tithes: $20
Avaricious Dragon: $10
Chandra, Fire of Kaladesh | Chandra, Roaring Flame: $12
Day’s Undoing: $20
Demonic Pact: $5
Disciple of the Ring: $5
Erebos’s Titan: $5
Jace, Vryn’s Prodigy | Jace, Telepath Unbound: $20
Kytheon, Hero of Akroas | Gideon, Battle-Forged: $25
Liliana, Heretical Healer | Liliana, Defiant Necromancer: $25
Nissa, Vastwood Seer | Nissa, Sage Animist: $20
Pyromancer’s Goggles: $6
Starfield of Nyx: $8
Woodland Bellower: $8
Total Mythic Value: $197

So plugging this into the formula, we get the following:

(2R ($105) + 1M ($197) ) = $407

$407/126 = $3.23 value per pack, or $116.28 per box.

With only two Rares to spoil, I can say that Magic Origins is going to be a very popular set. While the majority of card values will drop about a month into release, everything points to prices maintaining/jumping until the second wave of Magic Origins hits the market!

See you tomorrow to talk about those last two rares, plus foil cards of note!