Daily Financial Value Of Born Of The Gods (1/17: Part 2)

Take a look at Ben’s latest Daily Financial Value Of Born Of The Gods article, with Part 2 including all of the midnight Friday updates.

Hello everyone, and welcome back to my daily series of Financial Articles about Born of the Gods! Here’s the second part of today’s Financial Values of Born of the Gods article!

How I review:

Starting Price: The first price we assign to this card as a preorder.
Current Price: The current price of the card by the time this article goes live.
Future Price – Short Term: The price I believe this card will be at before Magic Online redemptions go live for Born of the Gods.
Future Price – Medium Term: The price I believe this card will be at by the time the next set (Journey into Nyx) comes out.
Future Price – Long Term: The price I believe this card will be at a year from now when the next winter set is released (name unknown still).

Brimaz, King of Okeskos

Starting Price: $20

Current Price: $20

Future Price (Short Term): $25

Future Price (Medium Term): $15

Future Price (Long Term): $15

Brimaz is big, and makes creatures for free, up to twice a turn. He plays offense and defense, and works great with Battalion creatures. There isn’t much of a downside anywhere on Brimaz except that it’s a Legendary creature; it will likely be a staple card in Standard and Modern, and potentially Legacy playable. Will go up in value short-term as people dash to grab copies, and will stabilize slightly lower once the MTGO redemptions begin.

Fate Unraveler

Starting Price: $1.50

Current Price: $1.50

Future Price (Short Term): $1

Future Price (Medium Term): $2

Future Price (Long Term): $3

I look at the price of Underworld Dreams, and the price of Nekusar, the Mindrazer, and my conclusion is that Fate Unraveler is very underpriced for the long-term. This effect has always had a massive casual appeal, and it’s finally attached to a reputable body to boot. This will eventually hit the $3-$4 (almost guaranteed) within the next 2-3 years, barring a reprint. I also think it won’t hit $3-$4 (almost guaranteed) for over a year from now (when BOTG goes out of print), so there’s plenty of time to buy into this card.

Fated Infatuation

Starting Price: $1.50

Current Price: $1.50

Future Price (Short Term): $1

Future Price (Medium Term): $0.50

Future Price (Long Term): $0.75

See Cackling Counterpart. Harder to cast, only Scrys when you play at Sorcery speed, doesn’t flash back. I remember Cackling Counterpart had a lot of hype and then failed miserably. Fated Infatuation seems like exactly more of the same to me.

Felhide Spiritbinder

Starting Price: $0.75

Current Price: $1

Future Price (Short Term): $1

Future Price (Medium Term): $1

Future Price (Long Term): $1

Felhide Spiritbinder is large enough to survive attacking, and the Inspire ability is quite powerful. However, this card is also very clumsy (you usually have to wait two turns after playing it to get your first activation) and isn’t as large a body as you’d expect out of a red four-drop (see Ember Swallower). Might be in the Zealous Conscripts camp of “is borderline good in Standard for a month or so, until it isn’t anymore”, but is by no means a staple.

Pack Value

I started this feature on Wednesday and will be continuing it with every update!

To determine the value of a booster pack, I’m going to start with the following formula:

(2R + 1M) / 80

That isn’t enough of a picture though. In fairness, $0.50 to $1 bulk rares don’t really amount to “real” value if you’re looking to trade with other players. So I’m omitting the value of any rare that is below $2 (rounded from $1.99) and any mythic that is below $4 (rounded from $3.99).

There were three more Rares spoiled today, and none breached the $2 threshold to be included on this list. There are now 17 out of 35 Born of the God Rares which have been spoiled. Only five so far top the $2 mark:

Hero of Iroas: $2
Pain Seer: $12
Temple of Enlightenment: $5
Temple of Malice: $5
Temple of Plenty: $5

Total Rare Value: $29

There have been eight out of ten Mythics spoiled so far. One falls in the “Bulk” Range (Champion of Stray Souls). Mogis has risen $2 to $15. Here are the others:

Brimaz, King of Oreskos: $20
Ephara: $10
Flame-Wreathed Phoenix: $10
Karametra: $10
Kiora, the Crashing Wave: $30
Mogis, God of Slaughter: $13
Xenagos, God of Revels: $20

Total Mythic Value: $115

So plugging this into the formula, we get the following:

(2R ($58) + 1M ($93) = $173

$173 /80 = $2.16 value per pack, or $77.76 per box.

Bonus Section: Hot Cards

Modern is really picking up on Magic Online, and a lot of pros are keeping a tight eye on Modern with the upcoming Pro Tour (which will be followed shortly thereafter by the Modern-format Grand Prix: Richmond – shameless plug!). LSV wrote about a Norin the Wary/Soul Sisters variant on DailyMTG a few months back. In the past couple of weeks, that deck has started making huge waves on the Magic Online Modern metagame. A lot of discussion can be found on MTGthesource’s Modern forums, here.

Along with the Modern deck, Norin has been getting a lot of scrutiny in Commander play. First, Norin was combined with Purphoros. Even more nutty is Norin with Ephara – now you’re drawing X cards per full turn cycle in a multiplayer game, where X is the number of players.

As much of a joke as Norin might have been for years, I believe he’s going to end up being one of the hottest cards of the Modern season, especially since I believe there’s virtually no chance he’ll be reprinted anytime this year (due to being so obscure going into 2014). This reminds me of the rapid ascent of Zur the Enchanter due to Modern play in the off-season. The only difference is that Zur was from a set with a much smaller print run (Coldsnap versus Time Spiral), but there are a LOT of Time Spiral Rares that have significant value:

Academy Ruins: $6 (was $10 before MM)
Ancestral Vision: $10
Flagstone of Trokair: $8
Gauntlet of Power: $12
Living End: $8
Mangara of Corondor: $6
Swarmyard: $5
Teferi, Mage of Zhalfir: $8
Vesuva: $12

So there’s a precedent for Time Spiral Rares to go above the $5 mark, and I believe Norin is going to be the next card to do so.

See you all on Monday!

  • Ben Bleiweiss
  • General Manager, StarCityGames.com

Previous Daily Financial Value Of Born Of The Gods Articles

January 17, Friday: Karametra, God of Harvests, Xenagos, God of Revels

January 15, Wednesday: Champion of Stray Souls, Fated Conflagration, Fated Intervention, Mindreaver, Tromokratis

January 14, Tuesday: Arbiter of the Ideal; Eater of Hope; Flame-Wreathed Phoenix; Forgestoker Dragon; Hero of Iroas; Mogis, God of Slaughter; Nessian Wilds Ravager; Silent Sentinel

January 13, Monday: Ephara, God of the Polis; Kiora, the Crashing Wave; Pain Seer; Temple of Enlightenment; Temple of Malice; Temple of Plenty