Daily Financial Value Of Magic 2015 (7/4)

With the complete set spoiled at midnight last night, Ben finishes up his financial look at Magic 2015 by evaluating the last rares and looking through the set for commons and uncommons that will rate a high value for the foil versions.

Today’s the last day of my Financial Value of Magic 2015 series. Thank you to everyone for tuning in over the past two weeks! The entire set was spoiled at midnight last night, so we can review everything that’s in the set at this point.

How I review:

Starting Price: The first price we assign to the card as a preorder.
Current Price: The current price of the card by the time this article goes live.
Future Price (Short Term): The price I believe the card will be at before Magic Online redemptions go live for Magic 2015.
Future Price (Medium Term): The price I believe the card will be at by the time the next set (Khans of Tarkir) comes out.
Future Price (Long Term): The price I believe the card will be at a year from now, when M16 is released.

NOTE: I had assumed Restock would be reprinted as a Rare. It’s been shifted down to Uncommon, so just make note of that!

Burning Anger

Starting Price: $0.50

Current Price: $0.50

Future Price (Short Term): $0.50

Future Price (Medium Term): $0.50

Future Price (Long Term): $0.50

While this is a Limited bomb, it’s a Constructed bulk rare.

Haunted Plate Mail

Starting Price: $0.50

Current Price: $0.50

Future Price (Short Term): $0.50

Future Price (Medium Term): $0.50

Future Price (Long Term): $0.50

This was a bulk rare last year, so it’s a bulk rare again this year. Pretty simple!

Polymorphist’s Jest

Starting Price: $1

Current Price: $1

Future Price (Short Term): $0.75

Future Price (Medium Term): $1

Future Price (Long Term): $1

Blue’s version of Sudden Spoiling. Sudden Spoiling hit $2.50-$3 when it was Standard-legal, and is only below the $2 mark because it was recently reprinted in Commander 2013. This should hold value at the upper-end of bulk rares for now, but could have upside for $1.50-$2 a couple of years down the road.

Spectra Ward

Starting Price: $1

Current Price: $1

Future Price (Short Term): $0.75

Future Price (Medium Term): $1

Future Price (Long Term): $1.50

This is the type of casual card that has fringe Standard applications, but also goes up in value over time. It won’t be gangbusters as a huge get, but it should be solid as a long-term pick.

Changes since yesterday:

The Chain Veil: From $5 to $6


To determine the value of a booster pack, I’m going to start with the following formula:

(2R + 1M) / 80

That isn’t enough of a picture though. In fairness, $0.50 to $1 bulk rares don’t really amount to “real” value if you’re looking to trade with other players. So I’m omitting the value of any Rare that is below $2 (rounded from $1.99) and any Mythic that is below $4 (rounded from $3.99).

All 53 rares have been spoiled! Here’s the ones that are $2 and up:

Aetherspouts: $2
Avacyn, Guardian Angel: $3
Battlefield Forge: $3
Caves of Koilos: $3
Chasm Skulker: $2
Chief Engineer: $2.50
Chord of Calling: $15
Genesis Hydra: $2.50
Goblin Rabblemaster: $2
Hushwing Gryff: $4
Llanowar Wastes: $4
Ob Nixilis, Unshackled: $4
Phyrexian Revoker: $2
Preeminent Captain: $3
Return to the Ranks: $2
Scuttling Doom Engine: $2
Shivan Reef: $6
Sliver Hive: $4
Spirit Bonds: $2
Urborg, Tomb of Yawgmoth: $12
Waste Not: $10
Yavimaya Coast: $4
Yisan, the Wanderer Bard: $2

Total Rare Value: $96

Here’s all of the Mythic Rares (except the ones under the $4 threshold):

Ajani Steadfast: $20
Chandra, Pyromaster: $8
Garruk, Apex Predator: $30
Jace, the Living Guildpact: $20
Liliana Vess: $8
Nissa, Worldwaker: $25
Perilous Vault: $10
Sliver Hivelord: $15
Soul of Innistrad; $5
Soul of New Phyrexia: $15
Soul of Shandalar: $6
Soul of Theros: $10
Soul of Zendikar: $5
The Chain Veil: $6

Total Mythic Value: $183

So plugging this into the formula, we get the following:

(2R ($96) + 1M ($183)) = $379

$379/121 = $3.13 value per pack, or $112.68 per box.

Here’s a list of the Commons and Uncommons of note. These are the cards that will have a higher value ($1+ for commons, $2+ for Uncommons) for the foil versions of those cards.


Ajani’s Pridemate (UC): $1 nonfoil, $3 foil – This is the fourth printing of Ajani’s Pridemate (M11, Commander 2013, DD: Ajani vs. Nicol Bolas), and it’s still a $1.50-$2 Uncommon.

Constricting Sliver (UC): $2 – Foil Slivers hold value pretty well, and this one is powerful.

Heliod’s Pilgrim (C): $1 – This is one of the cheapest versions of this effect, and may be playable in older formats the same way Trinket Mage turns up from time to time.

Pillar of Light (C): $1 – The flip side of Reprisal. Slightly more expensive, but it exiles – and that is very relevant given that it hits the Gods.

Raise the Alarm (C): $1 – Mirrodin foil version is at $3.


Diffusion Sliver (UC): $4 – This is the closest thing to Crystalline Sliver that Standard and Modern Slivers have. It’s actually quite good (since it comes down on turn two), making this a card that will be even higher than $4 if competitive Slivers take off.

Dissipate (UC): $3 – which is about half what the value was when it was at its height of Innistrad Standard

Illusory Angel (UC): $4 – The Planechase version hit a solid $3 before the reprint. It stands to reason that a foil version of this card would be slightly higher than the top-end of the price history of Illusory Angel.

Military Intelligence (UC): $2 – My pick for one of the sleeper cards of the set. Very playable, and doesn’t require you to hit (like Coastal Piracy).

Void Snare (C): $1 – They pushed Unsummon to hit all non-land permanents, which makes it very playable. Being a Sorcery is a drawback, but the cost is really low for the versatility. Being a Sorcery is not a drawback to Burning Wish, so this potentially can go higher thanks to Legacy and Vintage players loving both Storm decks and foils.

Wall of Frost (UC): $2 – Same as the M10, M11 and M14 foil versions.


Black Cat (C): $2 – There are just a lot of people who collect the foil version of this card for flavor purposes, so the demand is there for this to be a $2 card.

Endless Obedience (UC): $3 – Has implications for Modern and Legacy. I don’t think it’ll be successful, but there’s a precedent with Dread Return.

Leeching Sliver (UC): $2 – The Uncommon Slivers in this set are extremely playable.

Sign in Blood (C): $2 – Price history on M10, M11 and M13 foil versions.

Ulcerate (UC): $5 – Modern and Legacy-playable Uncommon (see Disfigure).


Altac Bloodseeker (UC): $2 – Should have a place in Standard aggressive red decks.

Belligerent Sliver (UC): $3 – See Pyreheart Wolf, when it was Standard-legal.

Generator Servant (C): $1 – This has potential. Might go a little higher.

Inferno Fist (C): $1 – See Seal of Fire, when Standard-legal. Red enchantments of this ilk have seen Standard play over the past two years (Volcanic Strength, Madcap Skills), so seeing this as a Standard player is a very real possibility.

Lightning Strike: (C): $3 – See Theros foil version

Stoke the Flames (UC): $2 – A solid burn spell with the potential to drop earlier in the game.


Back to Nature (UC): $3 – same price as the M11 foil version, and it’s very relevant in an Aura-influenced Standard metagame.

Reclamation Sage (UC): $5 – Will be played in Legacy, Modern and Standard, and will be wanted by casual players as well. The stand-out Uncommon in this set.

Sunblade Elf (UC): $2 – Playable Uncommon

Venom Sliver (UC): $2 – Man, the Slivers in this set are good!


Darksteel Citadel (UC): Price history of $18 on the Darksteel version. Putting this one at $10 to start.

Ornithopter (C): $1 – Shifted down to Common in this set, which will make it the cheapest foil version of this card.

See you all in September for the Financial Value of Khans of Tarkir!

Previous Daily Financial Value Of Magic 2015 Articles

6/23 – Aggressive Mining; Avarice Amulet; Chasm Skulker; Cruel Sadist; Darksteel Citadel; Genesis Hydra; Goblin Kaboomist; Jalira, Master Polymorphist; Master of Predicaments; Ob Nixilis, Unshackled; Return to the Ranks; Shield of the Avatar; Soul of New Phyrexia; Soul of Ravnica; Soul of Shandalar; Soul of Zendikar; Spirit Bonds; Waste Not; Yisan, the Wanderer Bard

6/24 – Sliver Hive; Soul of Innistrad

6/25 – Ajani Steadfast; Chandra, Pyromaster; Liliana Vess; Nissa, Worldwaker; Obelisk of Urd; Soul of Theros

6/26 – Avacyn, Guardian Angel; Crucible of Fire; Perilous Vault; Phyrexian Revoker

6/27 – Battlefield Forge; Caves of Koilos; Llanowar Wastes; Shivan Reef; Yavimaya Coast; Hushwing Gryff; Jace, the Living Guildpact; Life’s Legacy; Urborg, Tomb of Yawgmoth

6/30 – Chief Engineer; Chord of Calling; Garruk, Apex Predator; Necromancer’s Stockpile

7/1 – Sliver Hivelord; Stain the Mind

7/2 – Aetherspouts; Goblin Rabblemaster; Grindclock; Hoarding Dragon; Hornet Queen; In Garruk’s Wake; Indulgent Tormentor; Kurkesh, Onakke Ancient; Mass Calcify; Mercurial Pretender; Phytotitan; Resolute Archangel; Restock; Siege Dragon; The Chain Veil

7/3 – Hornet Nest; Kalonian Twingrove; Scuttling Doom Engine