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Daily Financial Value Of Journey Into Nyx (4/8)

In today’s Daily Financial Value Of Journey Into Nyx article, Ben goes over his outlook on the six new rares and two new mythics that were spoiled overnight!

Welcome back to the second day of the Financial Value Of Journey Into Nyx! Six new rares were spoiled overnight along with two new mythics. Let’s dive right into my outlook on these cards!

Side Note: My Building On My Budget (or BOMB, if you will) column will be going on hiatus the next two weeks while I concentrate on the Daily Financial Value column. Don’t worry—I have a humdinger (yes, I said humdinger) of a column planned for the return of BOMB!

How I review:

Starting Price: The first price we assign to the card as a preorder.
Current Price: The current price of the card by the time this article goes live.
Future Price (Short Term): The price I believe the card will be at before Magic Online redemptions go live for Born of the Gods.
Future Price (Medium Term): The price I believe the card will be at by the time the next set (M15) comes out.
Future Price (Long Term): The price I believe the card will be at a year from now when the next spring set is released (name unknown still, but probably [Something] of Khanar).

Dawnbringer Charioteers

Starting Price: $0.75

Current Price: $0.75

Future Price (Short Term): $0.49

Future Price (Medium Term): $0.49

Future Price (Long Term): $0.49

Bulk rare.

Dictate of Kruphix

Starting Price: $3

Current Price: $3

Future Price (Short Term): $2

Future Price (Medium Term): $2

Future Price (Long Term):$3

Playable Howling Mine effects tend to have a great long-term outlook in value. Dictate of Kruphix is playable. Some comparison might be made to Temple Bell, but this Dictate has two distinct advantages over Temple Bell. It has flash so you don’t have to tap out on your opponent’s turn to cast it, and your opponent doesn’t draw their first extra card until their next turn (which has always been the main drawback of Howling Mine). This card should have great long-term value to casual players.

Dictate of the Twin Gods

Starting Price: $2

Current Price: $2

Future Price (Short Term): $1

Future Price (Medium Term): $0.75

Future Price (Long Term): $1

Furnace of Rath effects tend to end up in the $1-$2 range. There are some exceptions (Gratuitous Violence for instance), but those tend to be asymmetric effects. Dictate of the Twin Gods will probably drop down to bulk value shortly after release and should top out at about a buck a year from now.

Doomwake Giant

Starting Price: $0.50

Current Price: $1

Future Price (Short Term): $0.75

Future Price (Medium Term): $0.49

Future Price (Long Term): $0.49

There are some who view this as a metagame card to stop weenie decks in their tracks. I think it’s a little too slow and ponderous for that, as -1/-1 isn’t huge if you have to spend your entire fifth turn tapping out to cast Doomwake Giant. In addition, there will be a lot of copies of Doomwake Giant out there since it’s one of the five Prerelease cards.

Godsend

Starting Price: $15

Current Price: $15

Future Price (Short Term): $10

Future Price (Medium Term): $6

Future Price (Long Term): $8

A lot of people are going nuts over Godsend, but I’m a bit more cautious. I’d compare it to the elemental Swords from Scars block:

  • Godsend is much harder to cast (basically have to be heavy white).
  • Godsend does not give your creature true evasion (protection from) or inability to be killed by removal (protection from)
  • There are no bonuses (aside from three extra points of damage) if you hit an opponent with a creature equipped with Godsend (as opposed to two abilities on each elemental Sword)

A creature equipped with Godsend can be blocked all day long. Yes, eventually your opponent may run out of blockers (especially with the Meddling Mage effect), but it won’t stop token generators.

In short, I think Godsend looks really cool but is being heavily overhyped right now. Let’s compare it to Vulshok Battlegear:

  • Same equip cost
  • Easier to cast Vulshok Battlegear
  • Same bonus to creature size
  • Not legendary (can have multiples in play)

Vulshok Battlegear was never played in serious tournaments (well, Constructed serious tournaments). Is the ability to instantly exile blocking/blocked creatures the difference that makes this card worth $15? I say long term the answer is no.

Keranos, God of Storms

Starting Price: $25

Current Price: $20

Future Price (Short Term): $15

Future Price (Medium Term): $12

Future Price (Long Term): $15

Yesterday I compared Iroas, God of Victory to the Gods in Born of the Gods. Today I’m a lot happier to tout the power level of Keranos, God of Storms.

So of the five Gods in the previous set, three of them need other cards to have any real effect on the board (not counting the devotion part of these guys). This is also a problem I have with Iroas—if you don’t have creatures out, Iroas is basically a dead draw.

Keranos will always activate and will always be relevant to the game. Its two modes are "Lightning Bolt" and "draw a card." Both of these are really powerful effects at a zero-mana activation cost. While this is another card where you might get the wrong mode at the wrong time (like drawing a card when you really need a Bolt), there are few times when there will be a "wrong" mode to get with Keranos.

Scourge of Fleets

Starting Price: $0.50

Current Price: $0.50

Future Price (Short Term): $0.50

Future Price (Medium Term): $0.50

Future Price (Long Term): $0.50

Bulk rare. Making it easy for me to write this article!

Spawn of Thraxes

Starting Price: $1

Current Price: $1

Future Price (Short Term): $0.75

Future Price (Medium Term): $0.50

Future Price (Long Term): $1

Bulk, but it’s a Dragon with an effect that’s going to appeal to casual players. Keep an eye on Spawn of Thraxes, as a lot of Dragons have a way of sneaking up in value over time.

Updates From Yesterday

Eidolon of Blossoms: From $2 to $3 – Keep an eye on Mana Bloom from Return to Ravnica as a Standard-legal constellation enabler.

Iroas, God of Victory: From $10 to $20 – A lot of people are bullish on this card. I still think it’ll be in the $10 range by the time M15 comes out.

Pack Value

To determine the value of a booster pack, I’m going to start with the following formula:

(2R + 1M) / 80

That isn’t enough of a picture though. In fairness, $0.50-$1 bulk rares don’t really amount to "real" value if you’re looking to trade with other players. So I’m omitting the value of any rare that is below $2 (rounded from $1.99) and any mythic that is below $4 (rounded from $3.99).

Ten out of the 35 rares have been spoiled. Here are the ones that are $2 and up!

Dictate of Kruphix: $3
Dictate of the Twin Gods: $2
Eidolon of Blossoms: $3
Hall of Triumph: $2

Total Rare Value: $10

Three mythics have been spoiled. All three are good!

Godsend: $15
Iroas, God of Victory: $20
Keranos, God of Storms: $20

Total Mythic Value: $55

So plugging this into the formula, we get the following:

(2R ($10) + 1M ($55) = $75

$75 /80 = $0.9375 value per pack or $33.75 per box

Please note that with 25 rares and seven mythics left to go, that’s a pretty good start to the box value!

Previous Daily Financial Value Of Journey Into Nyx Articles

4/7 – Eidolon of Blossoms; Extinguish All Hope; Hall of Triumph; Heroes’ Bane; Iroas, God of Victory