Daily Financial Value Of Fate Reforged: January 9th!

This is the last day of my Financial Value of Fate Reforged series! There’s only one rare left that was spoiled (spoiler alert: it stinks!). I want to talk about cards that will have an extraordinary value for the foil versions, and give a list of which cards have been best-sellers for us so far!

How I Review

Starting Price
: The first price we assign to this card as a preorder.

Current Price
: The current price of the card by the time this article goes live

Future Price – Short Term
: The price I believe this card will be at before Magic Online redemptions go live for Fate Reforged.

Future Price – Medium Term
: The price I believe this card will be at by the time the next set comes out. (Dragons of Tarkir).

Future Price – Long Term
: The price I believe this card will be at a year from now, when the Winter 2016 expansion is released!

Mob Rule

Rarity: Rare

Starting Price: $0.50

Current Price: $0.50

Future Price (Short Term): $0.50

Future Price (Medium Term): $0.50

Future Price (Long Term): $0.50

Bulk rare. How anticlimactic!

Pack Value

To determine the value of a booster pack, I’m going to start with the following formula:

(2R + 1M)/80.

That isn’t enough of a picture though. In fairness, $0.50 to $1 bulk rares don’t really amount to “real” value if you’re looking to trade with other
players. So I’m omitting the value of any rare that is below $2 (rounded from $1.99) and any mythic that is below $4 (rounded from $3.99).

35 out of the 35 Rares have been spoiled. Here are the ones that are $2 and up!

Alesha, Who Smiles at Death: $3

Crux of Fate: $2

Flamewake Phoenix: $5

Frontier Siege: $2

Mardu Strike Leader – $2

Monastery Siege: $2

Soulflayer: $3

Tasigur, the Golden Fang: $3

Total Rare Value: $22

10 out of the 10 Mythic Rares in Fate Reforged have been spoiled!

Brutal Hordechief: $10

Monastery Mentor: $30

Shaman of the Great Hunt: $6

Soulfire Grand Master: $25

Temporal Trespass: $6

Ugin, the Spirit Dragon: $30

Warden of the First Tree – $10

Whisperwood Elemental: $6

Total Mythic Value: $123

In addition, the five Khans fetchlands are going to be featured in Booster Packs in the land slot. See the previous articles for the math on this but:

If the Khans Fetchlands appear 2x per Land sheet, they add $45 in value to each Fate Reforged box.

If the Khans Fetchlands appear 1x per Land sheet, they add $22.50 in value to each Fate Reforged box.

So plugging this into the formula, we get the following:

(2R ($44) + 1M ($123) = $167

$161/80 = $2.09 value per pack, or $75.24 per box without Fetchlands.

With Fetchlands appearing at 10 per 121 packs opened, this is a $120.24 value per box.

With Fetchlands appearing at 5 per 121 packs opened, this is a $97.74 value per box.

Foils That Will Have Extraordinary Value

Commons:

Collateral Damage: $1-$2 foil price. Should see play in creature-based burn/haste decks.

Whisperer of the Wilds: $1. Should see some amount of Standard play.

All ten comes-into-play taplands: $1. Khans versions ($1.50) are the precedent here.

Island #178: $2. The only stand-out basic land art (as far as pulling a premium) I can see from this set.

Uncommons:

Battle Brawler: $2. Standard-playable creature.

Reality Shift: $3. About where Pongify and Rapid Hybridization started.

Valorous Stance: $3. Standard staple for white decks.

Wild Slash: $5. Staple burn spell. Possibly good enough for Modern due to damage prevention clause.

Rares and Mythics

Some of the $1 (if not most) legendary creatures will be $4-$5 for the foil versions due to Commander play.

Aside from those, the only one that will be more than 2x the Non-Foil value is going to be Ugin. Ugin foils are going to be hitting $70-$80 to start due to
huge Commander demand on the colorless planeswalker.